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In the latest TIPP Tracking poll for the 2024 presidential election, former President Donald Trump has a narrow edge over Vice President Kamala Harris. The survey, released on Tuesday morning, shows Trump with 48.6% support compared to Harris’s 48.3%. The remaining votes are split among undecided voters (1.3%), Cornel West (0.8%), and Jill Stein (0.5%).
When considering a direct face-off between Trump and Harris, the Vice President takes a slight lead of 0.1 points, with 48.4% to Trump’s 48.3%. The remaining votes are distributed among other candidates, unsure voters, and those who preferred not to answer.
🚨WHO’S GONNA WIN THE ELECTION TODAY? 🇺🇸
Strong, beautiful and intelligent women say TRUMP✊🇺🇸
Men, don’t be cowards and run to the polls, we support you🔥 pic.twitter.com/bxWTJBCzhk
— Naomi Seibt (@SeibtNaomi) November 5, 2024
The poll reveals interesting regional variations. Trump leads in the Midwest (50% to 46%) and South (53% to 45%), while Harris holds an advantage in the Northeast (51% to 45%) and West (53% to 43%). Urban areas strongly favor Harris (58% to 41%), while rural regions overwhelmingly support Trump (61% to 35%). Suburban areas lean slightly towards Harris (50% to 47%).
Age demographics show distinct preferences, with younger voters (18-44) favoring Harris (52% to 43%), while older voters (65+) support Trump (53% to 45%). Gender differences are less pronounced, with men slightly preferring Trump (50% to 48%) and women marginally favoring Harris (49% to 48%).
Racial demographics are evident in the poll results. White voters predominantly support Trump (54% to 43%), while Black voters overwhelmingly back Harris (81% to 16%). Hispanic voters show a preference for Harris (56% to 40%).
Education levels also influence voter preferences. High school graduates lean towards Trump (52% to 47%), while those with college degrees or higher favor Harris (50% to 46%).
I think President Trump will win Georgia and North Carolina and once he gets one of the blue wall states — which he will — then he’ll win. pic.twitter.com/F3oRAHpWcG
— Matt Schlapp (@mschlapp) November 5, 2024
Party affiliations show expected loyalties, with 94% of Democrats supporting Harris and 93% of Republicans backing Trump. Independent and other voters are almost evenly split between Harris (46%) and Trump (45%).
The TIPP Tracking poll, conducted from November 2-4, surveyed 1,863 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.3 percentage points.
