A recent poll showed that former President Donald Trump now leads President Joe Biden in a series of important swing states that may decide the 2024 election. The recent survey came as the former president drew thousands of supporters in New Jersey, despite the fact that no Republican has won the state in more than 30 years.
Trump led in five of the six swing states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Each state could place Trump in the White House. He won five of the six states in 2016 and none of them in 2020.
The average between all of the six swing states showed Trump with a 6% lead, which is a 3% increase from the last one When third-party candidates are included the former president maintains his significant lead.
In those states, Biden has an approval rating of just 38% with a disapproval rating of 50%. He also has a 40% favorable rating compared to a 58% unfavorable rating. Trump, meanwhile was viewed positively by 46% of those asked.
Trump held a lead of at least 7% in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan and Nevada among registered voters. He led Pennsylvania by 3% and Biden narrowly led in Wisconsin by 2% but was behind Trump by 1% among likely voters.
📊 NYT/Siena: [AZ, GA, MI, NV, PA & WI]
🟥 Trump 49% [+1]
🟦 Biden 43% [-2]
⬜ Undecided 8%
.
🟥 Trump 42% [+6]
🟦 Biden 36% [+2]
🟨 RFK Jr 9% [-13]
🟪 Other 2%
⬜ Undecided 8%[+/- change vs Nov. 2023]
—
Senate (AZ, NV, PA & WI)
🟦 Dem. candidate 46%
🟥 GOP candidate 42%
⬜… pic.twitter.com/hte7Lx7K8l— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) May 13, 2024
Over the weekend the former president drew a large crowd to a New Jersey rally. Trump’s campaign said that up to 100,000 people came to watch the president speak. Rep. Jeff Van Drew (R-NJ) said that the rally was the largest political event in the state’s history.
The rally also underscored Trump’s efforts to win in traditionally Democratic states. During the rally, Trump said that he would win New Jersey. He also said recently that his campaign would make a major push to win his former home state of New York.
The former president also welcomed potential vice presidential candidate and North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum (R), who said that it was important for the country to return Trump to the White House.
The most recent poll also follows a survey last week that showed Trump winning in Pennsylvania. Trump is also close in Virginia, despite Democrats winning there in the last four election cycles.
