Former President Donald Trump opened a lead in a number of swing states that could decide the 2024 election. The news comes as Trump has a lead over President Joe Biden in a number of national and state polls ahead of the Republican primary process early next year.
The latest New York Times/Siena College poll showed that Trump holds a lead in five of six key swing states. Should Trump earn a victory in each state, it would be very likely that he wins back the White House next year.
Trump currently leads the president in Nevada with a 52-41% lead despite losing the state three years ago. In Georgia, which Biden won narrowly in 2020, Trump currently polls 49% while his opponent pulls in 43%.
Furthermore, Trump leads in Arizona by a healthy margin, despite losing the state by a small margin in the last election. Trump currently pulls in 49%, while Biden receives 44% so far.
In Michigan, which Trump won in 2016 but lost in 2020, the former president received 48%, while Biden received 43.%.
In Pennsylvania, Trump is currently leading by 4%, with 48% to Biden’s 44%. Similar to Michigan, Trump won it in 2016, while losing the Keystone State in 2020.
The only swing state in which Biden is still leading in Wisconsin, which Trump won in 2016 and Biden won in 2020. In the Badger State, Biden leads with 47%, while Trump received 45%.
Trump 52% (+11)
Trump 49% (+6)
Trump 48% (+5)
Trump 49% (+5)
Trump 48% (+4)
Biden 47% (+2)
Registered voters,… pic.twitter.com/TXXMdVxl0w
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) November 5, 2023
Overall, Trump is leading in the RealClearPolitics national poll average by almost 1%.
This includes the most recent CBS News poll, which gives Trump an outright majority. In that survey, Trump received 51%, while Biden received 48%, an almost inversion of the 2020 result.
A further Messenger/HarrisX poll found a similar winning margin for Trump, with the former president in the lead 51-49%.
A USA Today/Suffolk Poll released last month found Trump leading by 4%, the highest margin of either candidate in recent polling.