Former President Donald Trump has seen a significant increase in his polling numbers in recent months as he consolidates the Republican Party around his likely nomination this year. The news comes after his significant victories in both the Iowa caucus and the New Hampshire presidential primary.
A recent Cygnal poll showed that Trump has a significant advantage over Biden in many House of Representatives districts which will be especially competitive.
The poll showed Trump with a 45% overall approval rating, while Biden was significantly behind with 37% approving. Trump also holds a lead among voters in those districts, winning 45% to Biden’s 44%.
Trump would also lead in a race including third-party candidates. When activist Robert F. Kennedy is included, Biden would lose that potential race by 4%.
Trump also has a commanding lead among independent voters. Biden won the group in 2020, although now Trump pulls in a 44-31% advantage.
Polling has also shown that a large majority of Americans are concerned about Biden’s mental and physical health, along with his age. At 81, Biden is the oldest president in American history and would be 86 by the time he leaves a prospective second term.
The former president has made a number of gains within certain states, as well. While most national polls have the former president in the lead over Biden, he also leads in a majority of swing state polls as well.
This includes a number of states that Biden won in 2020. Trump is currently leading in many of the Rust Belt states that will likely decide the 2024 race. He is also leading in most polls of other states he lost in 2020, such as Arizona and Georgia.
Trump’s numbers have increased among Republicans, especially after the exit of businessman Vivek Ramaswamy and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) from the race. Both candidates decided to back Trump after their concessions.
BREAKING: Meltdown at @MSNBC as New Hampshire witnesses a massive turnout, network hosts claim it must certainly be a turnout against Trump, but a CNN exit poll from voters' opinions of candidates shows Trump at 77 percent and Haley at 33 percent. WATCH pic.twitter.com/iAhLPVu82D
— Simon Ateba (@simonateba) January 24, 2024
Despite the fact that South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley (R) promised to stay in the race after she lost the New Hampshire primary, the former president leads her by a large margin in every national poll. Surveys also indicate that Trump will likely win a significant victory over Haley in her home state of South Carolina.