A recent poll showed that former President Donald Trump has a significant lead over President Joe Biden ahead of November’s election. The five-point national lead also includes Trump making up crucial ground among demographic groups that traditionally vote for Democrats, in a potentially significant boost for Trump’s chances in the general election.
According to the most recent New York Times/Siena College poll, Trump now commands 48% of likely voters.
Furthermore, Biden ranked with just 43%. The poll also included a number of interesting results. This included the former president leading among Latino voters, despite Biden winning them four years earlier.
In addition, women are equally split between Biden and Trump, despite Biden carrying them by a large margin in the previous election.
Trump also gained significant ground among non-White voters without a college education. While Biden won about 72% of that group in 2020, his formerly large lead is down to just 6%. Biden gained 47% from this group while Trump closed most of the gap with 41%.
Furthermore, Trump has a large advantage regarding enthusiasm. Among all voters, 49% said that they were enthusiastic about Trump’s candidacy, while 23% said the same about Biden’s.
Trump+5 among RVs in the new Times/Siena poll. +4 among LVs.
Ultimately, there's one simple reason: Joe Biden has become very unpopular.https://t.co/q8ashQkkKm pic.twitter.com/h0IUvsVxfB— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) March 2, 2024
Despite the bad news in the latest poll, it was not the only negative result for Biden in recent weeks. Trump now leads nationally in most polls and also commands a lead in most swing states over the president.
In the last eight polls averaged by RealClearPolitics, Trump leads in six of them, including the New York Times/Siena poll.
A recent Economist/YouGov poll had the two candidates tied. However, Biden led in only one recent national poll, in a Quinnipiac poll taken last month.
Included in the average are two polls in which Trump holds a 6% lead over Biden.
Both the Harvard-Harris and Rasmussen Reports polls had Trump with the major lead, with the Harvard-Harris poll giving the former president an outright majority.
